The $3 Million Super Tax Shock
A policy tweak can sound tidy on a press conference podium, then get very messy the moment it hits real portfolios. The proposed $3 million superannuation tax change is a perfect example: lifting the concessional tax rate to 30% might look targeted, but the way “earnings” are measured raises a bigger issue for SMSFs and anyone holding property or other illiquid assets. If the calculation captures year-to-year movements in value, you can end up facing tax on unrealised gains, even when you haven’t sold a thing and you don’t have spare cash sitting in the fund.
We talk through what that actually means in practice: how the balance movement is worked out, why a paper increase can trigger a bill, and why “lumpy assets” like farms and investment properties are at the centre of the stress. We also unpack the incentives this creates, from valuation disputes to early restructuring into other vehicles such as a family trust, and why we think it’s premature to make big moves while the legislation and political negotiations are still in flux ahead of 2025.
Then we zoom out to the part that affects almost everyone listening: retirement planning for the other 99.5%. If the goal is stronger self-funded retirement and less reliance on the Age Pension, we argue the contribution caps and Super Guarantee settings deserve at least as much attention as headline taxes on high balances. We finish with market talk on Woodside, dividends, franking credits, and why income strategies inside super may matter more if the rules tighten.
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